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Red110
641850.1
741942.1
84664.7
Blue93
650614.4
623844.1
696239.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1709805015020025011093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+33Teleop
+23Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
69Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points6
110Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#9
64.72.8
62.559.7
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
red by 20.6
6238
#17
44.10.9
50.649.7
Auto6.4
Teleop28.6
End9.0
Second
50.12.8
47.044.1
Auto14.8
Teleop28.9
End6.3
red by 10.5
6962
#11
39.60.9
39.738.8
Auto9.1
Teleop28.4
End2.1
Third
7419
#16
42.12.8
42.940.1
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
red by 27.7
6506
#21
14.40.9
9.99.0
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned