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Red192
198331.7
594094.9
641850.1
Blue74
724512.3
741942.1
879337.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1918105010015025019274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+98Teleop
+120Endgame
+118Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave3
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points19
50Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +70
19Coral scored#9
70Coral points34
3Processor algae#0
7Net algae#3
18Processor points0
28Net points12
46Algae points12
116Total teleop46
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#16
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +118
0Foul points2
192Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.91.3
92.493.7
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
red by 52.8
7419
#16
42.11.8
40.138.3
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
Second
50.11.3
44.145.4
Auto14.8
Teleop28.9
End6.3
red by 12.5
8793
#23
37.61.8
39.037.3
Auto11.1
Teleop22.5
End4.0
Third
1983
#18
31.71.3
25.626.9
Auto6.6
Teleop25.4
End-0.3
red by 19.4
7245
#22
12.31.8
7.76.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed