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Red92
550755.1
623844.1
900123.4
Blue182
84664.7
604B61.5
415938.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261605010020025092182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+80
Endgame+78
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +16
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
15Coral points25
18Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +64
11Coral scored#24
40Coral points86
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
58Total teleop122
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#11
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#37
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points12
92Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.12.2
53.151.0
Auto19.7
Teleop26.4
End8.9
blue by 9.6
846
#9
64.71.5
59.761.2
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
Second
6238
#17
44.12.2
49.747.5
Auto6.4
Teleop28.6
End9.0
blue by 17.5
61.52.4
54.156.5
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
Third
9001
#19
23.43.4
21.618.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.2
blue by 15.4
4159
#12
38.81.5
33.535.0
Auto11.0
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned