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Qual 372025 Sunset Showdown
Red105
281353.3
696239.6
11534.6
Blue120
19922.7
650614.4
60492.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13213190100110120140150160170105120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
2Coral scored#5
11Coral points25
20Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +9
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
71Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
105Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#7
53.31.2
49.5→48.3
Auto6.8
Teleop36.6
End9.8
blue by 39.0
604
#3
92.30.2
86.5→86.6
Auto24.5
Teleop59.5
End8.3
Second
6962
#11
39.61.2
38.8→37.6
Auto9.1
Teleop28.4
End2.1
red by 16.9
199
#20
22.70.2
22.2→22.3
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.8
Third
115
#25
34.61.2
34.6→33.4
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End4.1
red by 20.2
6506
#21
14.40.2
9.0→9.2
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed