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Red67
766B9.8
84153.3
696239.6
Blue140
947044.9
76645.4
550755.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11114605020025030035067140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+51
Endgame+71
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +37
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
38Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
1L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points2
67Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#6
53.32.9
54.151.1
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.5
blue by 1.8
55.10.2
51.051.1
Auto19.7
Teleop26.4
End8.9
Second
6962
#11
39.62.9
37.634.7
Auto9.1
Teleop28.4
End2.1
blue by 5.8
766
#13
45.40.2
41.241.4
Auto7.7
Teleop30.7
End7.1
Third
766B
#26
9.84.6
19.314.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 35.1
9470
#10
44.90.2
43.143.3
Auto12.1
Teleop29.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned