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Red188
741942.1
900123.4
60492.3
Blue102
766728.9
724512.3
1022119.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17824050100150200250300188102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+74Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points7
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +53
28Coral scored#16
99Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
135Total teleop82
Reef
9L4#6
11L3#6
9L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
2Foul points2
188Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
92.32.0
86.688.6
Auto24.5
Teleop59.5
End8.3
red by 63.4
7667
#27
28.92.9
25.628.5
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Second
7419
#16
42.12.0
38.340.3
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
red by 22.7
19.42.9
9.212.2
Auto2.3
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Third
9001
#19
23.42.9
18.221.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.2
red by 11.1
7245
#22
12.32.9
6.08.9
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed