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Red145
281353.3
550755.1
415938.8
Blue113
604B61.5
592423.6
741942.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145128050100200250145113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+12Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
18Coral scored#14
66Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
84Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
145Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.7
51.151.9
Auto19.7
Teleop26.4
End8.9
blue by 6.5
61.50.9
56.555.6
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
Second
53.30.7
48.349.0
Auto6.8
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 11.2
7419
#16
42.10.6
40.339.6
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
Third
4159
#12
38.80.7
34.435.1
Auto11.0
Teleop26.1
End1.7
red by 15.2
5924
#14
23.60.6
25.725.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed