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Red168
641850.1
58188.5
650614.4
Blue114
11534.6
84664.7
766B9.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153111050100200168114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+46Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points56
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#2
18Processor points18
32Net points8
50Algae points26
110Total teleop82
Reef
12L4#8
7L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
168Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#2
88.52.2
80.983.1
Auto18.9
Teleop59.6
End10.0
red by 23.8
846
#9
64.70.3
61.261.5
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
Second
50.12.2
45.447.6
Auto14.8
Teleop28.9
End6.3
red by 15.5
115
#25
34.60.3
33.433.7
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End4.1
Third
6506
#21
14.42.2
9.211.3
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 4.6
766B
#26
9.80.4
14.815.2
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned