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Red79
19922.7
415938.8
285426.0
Blue154
623844.1
594094.9
666222.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7820105010015025079154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+63
Endgame+73
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +49
11Coral scored#22
39Coral points80
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
0Processor points12
16Net points12
16Algae points24
55Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#10
2L3#8
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
4Foul points6
79Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#12
38.80.6
35.034.4
Auto11.0
Teleop26.1
End1.7
blue by 56.1
94.91.0
93.792.7
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
Second
2854
#28
26.00.6
26.826.2
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End2.1
blue by 18.1
6238
#17
44.11.0
47.546.6
Auto6.4
Teleop28.6
End9.0
Third
199
#20
22.70.6
22.321.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.8
blue by 0.1
6662
#15
22.81.0
21.320.3
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned