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Red156
594094.9
766728.9
947044.9
Blue146
604B61.5
650614.4
281353.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18611750100150200250156146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points21
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +4
19Coral scored#15
67Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
6Processor points18
24Net points20
30Algae points38
97Total teleop93
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#3
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points12
156Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.91.0
92.791.8
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
red by 33.3
61.51.6
55.657.2
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
Second
9470
#10
44.91.0
43.442.5
Auto12.1
Teleop29.7
End3.1
blue by 8.4
53.31.2
49.050.3
Auto6.8
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Third
7667
#27
28.91.0
28.527.6
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End0.3
red by 14.5
6506
#21
14.41.2
11.312.5
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned