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Red71
900123.4
879337.6
11534.6
Blue79
19922.7
592423.6
641850.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9795607080901101201307179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+16
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
39Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
10Cage & park2
10Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
71Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8793
#23
37.61.4
37.436.0
Auto11.1
Teleop22.5
End4.0
blue by 12.5
50.11.0
47.646.6
Auto14.8
Teleop28.9
End6.3
Second
115
#25
34.61.4
33.732.3
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End4.1
red by 11.0
5924
#14
23.61.0
25.124.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Third
9001
#19
23.41.9
21.119.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.2
red by 0.7
199
#20
22.71.0
21.720.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed