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Red133
76645.4
84664.7
285426.0
Blue30
666222.8
766B9.8
198331.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15054010020013330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+101Teleop
+109Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +87
18Coral scored#3
64Coral points9
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
12Processor points0
20Net points0
32Algae points0
96Total teleop9
Reef
6L4#1
7L3#1
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#0
29Game pieces#3
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +103
0Foul points6
133Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#9
64.70.2
61.561.7
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
red by 33.0
1983
#18
31.72.6
28.225.5
Auto6.6
Teleop25.4
End-0.3
Second
766
#13
45.40.2
42.742.9
Auto7.7
Teleop30.7
End7.1
red by 22.6
6662
#15
22.82.6
20.317.7
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Third
2854
#28
26.00.2
26.226.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End2.1
red by 16.2
766B
#26
9.83.5
15.211.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed