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Red137
592423.6
281353.3
666222.8
Blue135
84664.7
724512.3
900123.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97101708090110120130137135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points14
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
18Coral scored#19
64Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
86Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#6
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
10Foul points12
137Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.32.1
50.352.4
Auto6.8
Teleop36.6
End9.8
blue by 11.4
846
#9
64.71.7
61.763.4
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
Second
5924
#14
23.62.1
24.126.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.0
red by 0.2
9001
#19
23.42.1
19.221.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.2
Third
6662
#15
22.82.1
17.719.8
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
red by 10.5
7245
#22
12.31.7
10.612.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned