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Red198
76645.4
696239.6
604B61.5
Blue219
11534.6
58188.5
594094.9
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13223050100150200250300198219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points39
30Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +15
28Coral scored#28
102Coral points99
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
6Processor points24
20Net points20
26Algae points44
128Total teleop143
Reef
15L4#14
8L3#10
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
24Foul points2
198Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.53.0
57.260.2
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
blue by 33.3
94.90.5
91.892.3
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
Second
766
#13
45.42.5
42.945.3
Auto7.7
Teleop30.7
End7.1
blue by 43.1
581
#2
88.50.5
85.485.9
Auto18.9
Teleop59.6
End10.0
Third
6962
#11
39.62.5
37.039.5
Auto9.1
Teleop28.4
End2.1
red by 5.0
115
#25
34.60.5
32.332.8
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned