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Red100
1022119.4
650614.4
198331.7
Blue63
623844.1
285426.0
766B9.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4698015020010063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+29Teleop
+25Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
12Processor points12
20Net points4
32Algae points16
79Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
12Foul points0
100Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#18
31.72.5
25.528.0
Auto6.6
Teleop25.4
End-0.3
blue by 12.4
6238
#17
44.11.5
48.246.7
Auto6.4
Teleop28.6
End9.0
Second
19.42.5
12.615.1
Auto2.3
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 6.6
2854
#28
26.01.5
26.324.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End2.1
Third
6506
#21
14.42.5
12.515.0
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 4.6
766B
#26
9.81.9
11.79.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed