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Red43
724512.3
19922.7
766B9.8
Blue132
604B61.5
879337.6
198331.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52130010015020025043132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+89
Endgame+89
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +76
6Coral scored#20
23Coral points73
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
0Processor points18
12Net points20
12Algae points38
35Total teleop111
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#9
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points0
43Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#20
22.71.9
25.223.3
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.8
blue by 38.8
61.51.2
41.342.5
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
Second
7245
#22
12.31.9
8.26.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 25.3
8793
#23
37.60.7
43.243.9
Auto11.1
Teleop22.5
End4.0
Third
766B
#26
9.83.1
22.519.4
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 21.9
1983
#18
31.70.7
24.825.5
Auto6.6
Teleop25.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed