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Red86
84664.7
766728.9
Blue141
84153.3
285426.0
741942.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101475020086141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +37
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points44
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
6Processor points24
12Net points20
18Algae points44
51Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
2Foul points2
86Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#9
64.71.4
65.063.6
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
red by 11.4
841
#6
53.30.2
60.560.7
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.5
Second
7667
#27
28.91.4
31.430.0
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End0.3
blue by 13.2
7419
#16
42.10.2
44.444.7
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
Third
5.61.4
8.77.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 20.4
2854
#28
26.00.2
30.731.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned