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Red167
285426.0
641850.1
604B61.5
Blue122
415938.8
900123.4
198331.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14990050200250167122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
9Leave0
8Coral scored#4
39Coral points19
48Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
16Coral scored#20
57Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
97Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#7
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +45
8Foul points6
167Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.6
61.161.7
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
red by 22.8
4159
#12
38.80.5
38.238.8
Auto11.0
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Second
50.10.5
49.750.2
Auto14.8
Teleop28.9
End6.3
red by 18.4
1983
#18
31.70.5
31.131.7
Auto6.6
Teleop25.4
End-0.3
Third
2854
#28
26.00.5
25.626.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End2.1
red by 2.6
9001
#19
23.40.6
22.823.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.2