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Red228
1022119.4
58188.5
594094.9
Blue217
84664.7
666222.8
60492.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215186150200250300228217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+15Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points35
48Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +21
32Coral scored#24
116Coral points87
3Processor algae#5
8Net algae#7
18Processor points30
32Net points28
50Algae points58
166Total teleop145
Reef
15L4#12
13L3#7
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#7
53Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points4
228Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.90.6
93.694.3
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
red by 2.6
604
#3
92.30.8
91.892.6
Auto24.5
Teleop59.5
End8.3
Second
581
#2
88.50.6
87.387.9
Auto18.9
Teleop59.6
End10.0
red by 23.8
846
#9
64.70.8
64.265.0
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
Third
19.40.6
18.218.8
Auto2.3
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 3.4
6662
#15
22.80.8
22.323.1
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9