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Red131
285426.0
641850.1
604B61.5
Blue114
281353.3
879337.6
741942.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144140100120160180200131114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave9
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points23
37Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +12
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
18Processor points6
12Net points24
30Algae points30
90Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
131Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.2
61.761.5
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
red by 8.3
53.30.5
53.753.3
Auto6.8
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Second
50.10.2
50.250.1
Auto14.8
Teleop28.9
End6.3
red by 8.0
7419
#16
42.10.5
42.542.1
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
Third
2854
#28
26.00.2
26.126.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End2.1
blue by 11.6
8793
#23
37.60.5
38.037.6
Auto11.1
Teleop22.5
End4.0