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Red156
84664.7
666222.8
60492.3
Blue147
285426.0
641850.1
604B61.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19813350100150250300156147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+19Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points27
47Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +1
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points68
4Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
24Processor points12
8Net points8
32Algae points20
87Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#4
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points8
156Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
92.30.7
92.691.9
Auto24.5
Teleop59.5
End8.3
red by 30.7
61.50.0
61.561.5
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
Second
846
#9
64.70.7
65.064.3
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
red by 14.6
50.10.0
50.150.1
Auto14.8
Teleop28.9
End6.3
Third
6662
#15
22.80.7
23.122.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
blue by 3.2
2854
#28
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End2.1