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Red227
1022119.4
58188.5
594094.9
Blue180
84664.7
666222.8
60492.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217186150200250300227180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
+29Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
9Coral scored#9
45Coral points44
48Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +15
25Coral scored#22
89Coral points80
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
24Processor points18
24Net points24
48Algae points42
137Total teleop122
Reef
13L4#13
10L3#4
7L2#9
4L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +47
18Foul points0
227Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.90.2
94.394.5
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
red by 2.6
604
#3
92.30.0
91.991.9
Auto24.5
Teleop59.5
End8.3
Second
581
#2
88.50.2
87.988.1
Auto18.9
Teleop59.6
End10.0
red by 23.8
846
#9
64.70.0
64.364.3
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
Third
19.40.2
18.819.0
Auto2.3
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 3.4
6662
#15
22.80.0
22.422.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9