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Red101
696239.6
11534.6
76645.4
Blue160
281353.3
879337.6
741942.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124142050100200250300101160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+51
Endgame+55
Fouls+59
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points22
27Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +53
12Coral scored#21
42Coral points75
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
60Total teleop113
Reef
4L4#9
7L3#8
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +4
14Cage & park18
14Total endgame18
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points4
101Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#13
45.40.4
45.945.4
Auto7.7
Teleop30.7
End7.1
blue by 7.8
53.30.5
53.153.6
Auto6.8
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Second
6962
#11
39.60.4
40.039.6
Auto9.1
Teleop28.4
End2.1
blue by 2.5
7419
#16
42.10.5
41.942.4
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
Third
115
#25
34.60.4
35.034.6
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End4.1
blue by 3.0
8793
#23
37.60.5
37.437.9
Auto11.1
Teleop22.5
End4.0