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Red233
1022119.4
58188.5
594094.9
Blue176
947044.9
766728.9
550755.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22312050100150200250300233176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+35Teleop
+59Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
6Coral scored#8
32Coral points41
41Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +41
37Coral scored#28
132Coral points101
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
24Processor points18
12Net points8
36Algae points26
168Total teleop127
Reef
16L4#11
14L3#13
6L2#8
7L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#41
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points2
233Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.90.8
92.893.6
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
red by 39.8
55.11.1
54.155.2
Auto19.7
Teleop26.4
End8.9
Second
581
#2
88.50.8
86.487.3
Auto18.9
Teleop59.6
End10.0
red by 43.6
9470
#10
44.91.1
43.945.0
Auto12.1
Teleop29.7
End3.1
Third
19.40.8
17.418.2
Auto2.3
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 9.5
7667
#27
28.91.1
27.929.0
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End0.3