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Red131
608328.6
816919.8
763260.7
Blue124
770941.9
907914.9
872536.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12193050150200131124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points33
30Total auto33
Teleoperatedlevel
19Coral scored#17
69Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
87Total teleop87
Reef
13L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
131Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.5
60.260.7
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.2
red by 18.8
41.90.7
41.141.9
Auto11.6
Teleop28.5
End1.7
Second
6083
#12
28.60.5
28.128.6
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End3.5
blue by 7.5
8725
#16
36.10.7
35.336.1
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End2.2
Third
8169
#28
19.80.5
19.319.8
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End0.1
red by 4.9
9079
#19
14.90.7
14.114.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.3