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Red80
608328.6
694728.7
942738.2
Blue48
1011414.1
767313.2
713018.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123650501001502002508048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
55Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
12Foul points12
80Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.23.0
39.436.4
Auto8.1
Teleop26.9
End3.2
red by 19.5
7130
#26
18.72.5
25.022.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Second
6947
#15
28.73.0
32.929.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End5.1
red by 14.6
14.12.5
19.717.2
Auto2.2
Teleop8.0
End4.0
Third
6083
#12
28.63.0
30.627.5
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End3.5
red by 15.4
7673
#14
13.22.5
17.715.1
Auto2.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed