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Red76
907914.9
856913.1
912628.5
Blue73
858514.0
872536.1
950131.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710701507673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
48Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
8Foul points0
76Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9126
#23
28.50.2
30.030.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End1.1
blue by 7.6
8725
#16
36.11.9
31.930.0
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End2.2
Second
9079
#19
14.90.2
17.817.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.3
blue by 16.6
9501
#10
31.41.9
38.937.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Third
13.10.2
7.17.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 1.0
8585
#21
14.01.9
18.917.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed