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Red62
770941.9
764517.9
713018.7
Blue95
879011.2
767313.2
763260.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10310560801201406295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+57
Endgame+55
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +60
2Coral scored#13
6Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
10Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
32Foul points10
62Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.94.4
45.541.1
Auto11.6
Teleop28.5
End1.7
blue by 18.8
60.70.4
62.662.3
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.2
Second
7130
#26
18.74.4
22.518.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
red by 5.5
7673
#14
13.20.4
15.114.8
Auto2.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Third
7645
#20
17.94.4
21.917.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End3.6
red by 6.6
8790
#17DQ
11.20.4
7.26.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed