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Red54
763618.1
859526.7
694728.7
Blue75
942738.2
75267.0
624513.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90620501001502005475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
25Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
54Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6947
#15
28.72.0
29.827.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End5.1
blue by 9.5
38.21.0
36.437.4
Auto8.1
Teleop26.9
End3.2
Second
8595
#22
26.72.0
29.627.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.9
End2.9
red by 13.5
13.21.0
13.114.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
7636
#29
18.12.0
23.021.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End0.5
red by 11.1
7526
#27
7.01.1
9.810.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned