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Red94
856913.1
699837.4
Blue84
755123.1
1011414.1
880626.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487701001509484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#12
52Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
72Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
94Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6998
#11
37.42.9
29.532.4
Auto6.2
Teleop27.1
End4.1
red by 10.8
26.61.4
22.924.3
Auto3.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
Second
13.12.9
7.210.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 10.0
23.11.4
23.224.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End6.8
Third
6.22.9
8.110.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
blue by 7.9
14.11.4
17.218.6
Auto2.2
Teleop8.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsMissed