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Red47
767313.2
624513.2
608328.6
Blue21
912628.5
763260.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731570501002002503004721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points4
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +12
4Coral scored#2
14Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
18Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
12Foul points0
47Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6083
#12
28.62.7
35.132.4
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End3.5
blue by 32.1
60.77.4
68.661.2
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.2
Second
13.23.0
17.314.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.1
blue by 15.3
9126
#23
28.57.4
43.936.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End1.1
Third
7673
#14
13.22.7
20.317.6
Auto2.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
red by 6.9
6.27.4
16.38.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed