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Red103
699837.4
1003411.2
859526.7
Blue95
694728.7
856913.1
879011.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8039010015020025010395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+22Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
83Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points14
103Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6998
#11
37.41.8
32.434.2
Auto6.2
Teleop27.1
End4.1
red by 8.7
6947
#15
28.72.0
27.829.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End5.1
Second
8595
#22
26.71.8
27.629.4
Auto6.8
Teleop16.9
End2.9
red by 13.6
13.12.0
10.112.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Third
11.21.8
10.612.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.9
End2.1
blue by 0.1
8790
#17
11.22.0
6.88.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsEarned