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Red114
912628.5
758918.6
608328.6
Blue106
942738.2
764517.9
619120.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8686406080100120114106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
Endgame+16
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#12
54Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
68Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
24Foul points0
114Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6083
#12
28.60.4
26.426.8
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End3.5
blue by 9.6
38.21.6
37.439.0
Auto8.1
Teleop26.9
End3.2
Second
9126
#23
28.50.4
30.230.6
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End1.1
red by 8.5
20.01.6
18.319.9
Auto2.9
Teleop12.4
End4.7
Third
18.60.4
19.720.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.6
End0.8
red by 0.8
7645
#20
17.91.6
17.619.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned