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Red37
950131.4
907914.9
Blue34
763618.1
713018.7
749710.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7658020401001201403734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points12
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
8Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
14Foul points8
37Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9501
#10
31.43.1
37.034.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.7
End2.1
red by 12.7
7130
#26
18.72.1
18.116.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Second
9079
#19
14.93.1
15.812.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.3
blue by 3.2
7636
#29
18.12.1
21.018.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Third
6.23.1
10.97.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
blue by 3.8
7497
#25
10.02.1
12.310.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed