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Red21
85848.9
1011414.1
858514.0
Blue99
763260.7
755123.1
770941.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4816601001502002503002199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+60
Endgame+68
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +46
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
0Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#4
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
6Foul points16
21Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.12.4
18.616.2
Auto2.2
Teleop8.0
End4.0
blue by 46.5
60.73.0
62.359.3
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.2
Second
8585
#21
14.02.4
18.416.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.8
blue by 27.8
41.93.0
41.138.1
Auto11.6
Teleop28.5
End1.7
Third
8584
#30
8.92.4
13.511.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End2.2
blue by 14.2
23.13.0
24.621.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned