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Red19
624513.2
88059.5
816919.8
Blue113
872536.1
880626.6
713018.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5689010015020019113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+76
Endgame+86
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +69
2Coral scored#13
8Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#6
0Processor points6
0Net points24
0Algae points30
8Total teleop77
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#6
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points8
19Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8169
#28
19.81.9
19.918.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End0.1
blue by 16.3
8725
#16
36.12.3
30.032.3
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End2.2
Second
13.21.9
14.112.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.1
blue by 13.5
26.62.3
24.326.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
Third
8805
#31
9.51.9
13.211.3
Auto0.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 9.2
7130
#26
18.72.3
16.018.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed