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Red57
942738.2
858514.0
1003411.2
Blue11
75267.0
764517.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88370501001505711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
4Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
21Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
3L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#0
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
14Foul points0
57Total score11

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.21.6
39.037.4
Auto8.1
Teleop26.9
End3.2
red by 20.3
7645
#20
17.91.6
19.117.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End3.6
Second
8585
#21
14.01.6
16.014.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.8
red by 7.0
7526
#27
7.01.6
8.67.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Third
11.21.6
12.410.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.9
End2.1
red by 4.9
6.21.6
7.96.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed