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Red115
879011.2
755123.1
699837.4
Blue81
608328.6
763618.1
816919.8
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777220406010012011581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
76Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points2
115Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6998
#11
37.42.4
34.236.6
Auto6.2
Teleop27.1
End4.1
red by 8.8
6083
#12
28.60.1
26.826.9
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End3.5
Second
23.12.4
21.624.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End6.8
red by 3.3
8169
#28
19.80.1
18.018.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Third
8790
#17
11.22.4
8.811.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
blue by 6.9
7636
#29
18.10.1
18.919.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed