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Red96
763260.7
694728.7
749710.0
Blue116
619120.0
872536.1
770941.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109705015020096116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
57Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points18
96Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.2
59.359.0
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.2
red by 18.8
41.90.5
38.138.6
Auto11.6
Teleop28.5
End1.7
Second
6947
#15
28.70.2
29.829.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End5.1
blue by 7.4
8725
#16
36.10.5
32.332.8
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End2.2
Third
7497
#25
10.00.2
10.310.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.7
blue by 10.0
20.00.5
19.920.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned