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Qual 302025 Taiwan Playoff
Red32
767313.2
907914.9
758918.6
Blue65
624513.2
880626.6
856913.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48530204060801001203265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
4Coral scored#8
14Coral points29
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
14Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
2Foul points6
32Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7589
#7
18.61.1
20.1→19.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.6
End0.8
blue by 8.0
8806
#6
26.60.5
26.6→27.1
Auto3.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
Second
9079
#19
14.91.1
12.7→11.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.3
red by 1.7
6245
#9
13.20.5
12.3→12.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
7673
#14
13.21.1
13.4→12.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
red by 0.1
8569
#3
13.10.5
12.1→12.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed