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Red74
950131.4
912628.5
1011414.1
Blue31
88059.5
85848.9
859526.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1015701502007431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +28
5Coral scored#0
18Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
28Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
24Foul points12
74Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9501
#10
31.42.0
34.031.9
Auto5.7
Teleop23.7
End2.1
red by 4.7
8595
#22
26.72.2
29.427.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.9
End2.9
Second
9126
#23
28.52.0
30.628.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End1.1
red by 19.0
8805
#31
9.52.2
11.39.1
Auto0.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
14.12.0
16.214.1
Auto2.2
Teleop8.0
End4.0
red by 5.2
8584
#30
8.92.2
11.18.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed