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Qual 62025 Taiwan Playoff
Red75
694728.7
816919.8
103906.2
Blue115
758918.6
950131.4
763260.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6714605010020025075115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+50
Endgame+52
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +42
6Coral scored#15
21Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
39Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#8
1L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
12Foul points0
75Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6947
#15
28.70.4
33.1→32.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End5.1
blue by 32.0
7632
#4
60.70.5
61.2→60.8
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.2
Second
8169
#28
19.80.4
24.7→24.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End0.1
blue by 11.6
9501
#10
31.40.5
42.4→42.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Third
10390
#24
6.20.4
8.9→8.5
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
blue by 12.4
7589
#7
18.60.5
18.3→17.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned