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Red45
859526.7
872536.1
75267.0
Blue69
608328.6
770941.9
856913.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010302003004005006004569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
34Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points6
45Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8725
#16
36.12.5
34.832.3
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End2.2
blue by 5.8
41.91.9
49.547.7
Auto11.6
Teleop28.5
End1.7
Second
8595
#22
26.72.5
33.230.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.9
End2.9
blue by 1.9
6083
#12
28.61.9
32.430.6
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End3.5
Third
7526
#27
7.02.5
14.612.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 6.1
13.11.9
8.97.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed