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Red10
764517.9
912628.5
88059.5
Blue79
694728.7
907914.9
755123.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9397204060801201401079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+45
Endgame+69
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +36
1Coral scored#9
5Coral points33
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
5Total teleop41
Reef
0L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points0
10Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9126
#23
28.54.5
36.532.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End1.1
blue by 0.2
6947
#15
28.70.2
32.632.9
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End5.1
Second
7645
#20
17.94.5
24.620.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End3.6
blue by 5.2
23.10.3
25.225.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End6.8
Third
8805
#31
9.54.5
16.712.2
Auto0.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 5.4
9079
#19
14.90.2
17.617.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned