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Red45
713018.7
858514.0
624513.2
Blue87
699837.4
619120.0
1011414.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728802004006008001,0001,2004587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+44
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +44
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
20Total teleop64
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
45Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7130
#26
18.71.7
26.725.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
blue by 18.7
6998
#11
37.40.5
32.132.6
Auto6.2
Teleop27.1
End4.1
Second
8585
#21
14.01.7
20.618.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.8
blue by 6.0
20.00.5
20.320.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.4
End4.7
Third
13.21.7
14.312.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.1
blue by 1.0
14.10.5
19.219.7
Auto2.2
Teleop8.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned