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Red89
880626.6
942738.2
767313.2
Blue51
85848.9
749710.0
879011.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100390501502008951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+56Teleop
+58Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +59
14Coral scored#3
51Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
77Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points20
89Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.1
39.339.4
Auto8.1
Teleop26.9
End3.2
red by 27.0
8790
#17
11.21.4
9.78.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Second
26.60.1
25.025.1
Auto3.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5
red by 16.6
7497
#25
10.01.4
14.312.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.7
Third
7673
#14
13.20.1
17.617.7
Auto2.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
red by 4.2
8584
#30
8.91.4
18.517.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed