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Red132
1003411.2
764517.9
763260.7
Blue63
763618.1
950131.4
699837.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104107608012014013263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+41Teleop
+63Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
16Coral scored#7
57Coral points26
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
77Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
6Foul points0
132Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.71.9
60.862.6
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.2
red by 23.3
6998
#11
37.43.0
32.629.5
Auto6.2
Teleop27.1
End4.1
Second
7645
#20
17.91.9
20.021.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End3.6
blue by 13.6
9501
#10
31.43.0
42.038.9
Auto5.7
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Third
11.21.9
11.813.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.9
End2.1
blue by 7.0
7636
#29
18.13.0
28.025.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed