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Red57
879011.2
619120.0
859526.7
Blue56
872536.1
88059.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7763020401001201405756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+3
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +12
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
34Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
8Foul points4
57Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8595
#22
26.71.1
30.729.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.9
End2.9
blue by 9.4
8725
#16
36.10.4
32.331.9
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End2.2
Second
20.01.1
20.819.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.4
End4.7
red by 10.5
8805
#31
9.50.4
12.211.8
Auto0.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
8790
#17
11.21.1
8.37.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End0.9
red by 5.0
6.20.4
8.58.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed