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Red52
624513.2
713018.7
764517.9
Blue62
755123.1
763618.1
694728.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558601001502005262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
30Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points0
52Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7130
#26
18.70.1
18.818.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
blue by 10.0
6947
#15
28.70.2
29.329.1
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End5.1
Second
7645
#20
17.90.1
17.917.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End3.6
blue by 5.2
23.10.2
23.623.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End6.8
Third
13.20.1
13.313.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.1
blue by 5.0
7636
#29
18.10.2
18.718.5
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End0.5