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Red47
619120.0
858514.0
758918.6
Blue73
1003411.2
856913.1
88059.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714102060801001201404773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#7
25Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
29Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points18
47Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.3
20.320.0
Auto2.9
Teleop12.4
End4.7
red by 7.0
13.10.4
12.412.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Second
18.60.3
18.918.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.6
End0.8
red by 7.5
11.20.4
10.510.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Third
8585
#21
14.00.3
14.314.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.8
red by 4.5
8805
#31
9.50.4
8.99.3
Auto0.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1